- Mots-clés > estimating drug requirements
- Mots-clés > maternal, newborn, and child health commodities
- Mots-clés > procurement process - public health commodities
- Mots-clés > quantification - forecasting of medicines and supplies
- Mots-clés > quantification of commodities
- Mots-clés > Reproductive Health Commodity Security (RHCS)
- Mots-clés > Reproductive, Maternal, Newborn, and Child Health (RMNCH)
- Mots-clés > supply chain management
- Mots-clés > supply of commodities
- Mots-clés > supply planning
(2014; 41 pages)
Giashuddin, MS, Kibria, MG. 2014. Forecasting Exercise for the Thirteen Reproductive, Maternal, Newborn and Child Health Commodities prioritized by the UN Commission on Life-Saving Commodities for Women and Children. Submitted to the US Agency for International Development by the Systems for Improved Access to Pharmaceuticals and Services (SIAPS) Program. Arlington, VA: Management Sciences for Health.
In September 2012, the United Nations Commission on Life-Saving Commodities for Women and Children released its recommendations for improving access to 13 priority commodities across the reproductive, maternal, newborn, and child health (RMNCH) continuum. These recommendations focused on developing markets, both local and global, for these commodities; strengthening national supply chains; and improving demand. One of the supply chain areas for these commodities that was identified as particularly weak was forecasting and supply planning. For several of these commodities, the data required to estimate need accurately are unavailable in many countries and national forecasts are based on unsubstantiated assumptions and often on data from past procurements. This is the case for many commodities procured by the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare (MOHFW) in Bangladesh.
The U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID)/Bangladesh requested assistance from the Systems for Improved Access to Pharmaceuticals and Services (SIAPS) Program, implemented by Management Sciences for Health (MSH), to address supply chain management issues related to essential medicines, especially tracer drugs (determined by Forecasting Working Group of the MOHFW) with maternal, newborn, and child health (MNCH) products, helping the Government of Bangladesh (GOB) and other key national stakeholders to improve the security of essential health medicines in the country, strengthen the distribution and management information systems in place, and build local capacity to strengthen health systems. As part of this effort, SIAPS has been working with relevant GOB departments to improve forecasting and supply planning of RMNCH commodities.