Promising Practices: 1 - Quantification: Forecasting and Supply Planning. Brief #1 in the Promising Practices in Supply Chain Management Series
(2014; 15 pages)

Systems for Improved Access to Pharmaceuticals and Services (SIAPS) Program. 2014. Promising Practices: Quantification: Forecasting and Supply Planning. Arlington, VA: Management Sciences for Health.

Abrégé

This series of briefs has been developed for use by in-country stakeholders. The briefs provide both proven and promising practices that may be used to address specific supply chain barriers faced by each country.

  • Proven practices are defined as interventions with proven outcomes in improving health commodity supply chains in low- and middle-income countries tested using experimental or quasi-experimental evaluation designs. Examples of proven practices are identified by this symbol throughout these briefs.
  • Promising practices are defined as interventions showing progress toward improving health commodity supply chains in low- and middle-income countries.

To view all the briefs in the Promising Practices in Supply Chain Management Series, visit http://siapsprogram.org/publication/promising-practices-in-supply-chain-management.

The quantification of commodities relies on access to good data, knowledgeable personnel, and the coordination of key stakeholders. Without these three key components, quantification exercises often lead to inadequate forecasts of commodity needs, resulting in an under- or oversupply of life-saving commodities.

As defined for this brief, quantification incorporates both forecasting and supply planning...

 
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